Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 10:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+360/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +360.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Quez Watkins's ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this season, compiling 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 3.58 figure last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Quez Watkins has compiled far fewer air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
Quez Watkins's 22.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 36.1.
Quez Watkins has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

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