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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+360/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this season, compiling 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 3.58 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Quez Watkins has compiled far fewer air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
  • Quez Watkins's 22.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 36.1.
  • Quez Watkins has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

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