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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 70.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Quez Watkins has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
  • Quez Watkins's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.1.
  • Quez Watkins has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

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