Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Quez Watkins's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 70.8%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Quez Watkins has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
Quez Watkins's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.1.
Quez Watkins has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

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