Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Quez Watkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 78.2%.
Quez Watkins's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, totaling 7.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.58 figure last season.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
Quez Watkins has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this year (8.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.1%).
Quez Watkins has posted quite a few less air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).

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