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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.6% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 67.0% to 77.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Quez Watkins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
  • Quez Watkins has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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