Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.6% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Quez Watkins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 67.0% to 77.1%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Quez Watkins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
Quez Watkins has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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