Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Quez Watkins's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 71.3% to 81.9%.
Quez Watkins has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a stellar 10.24 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Favors Under
The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
Quez Watkins has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).