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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 71.3% to 81.9%.
  • Quez Watkins has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a stellar 10.24 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Quez Watkins has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

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