Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Quez Watkins has been among the best WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.
Quez Watkins has been a much smaller part of his team's air attack this season (5.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.8%).
Quez Watkins has notched quite a few less air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

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