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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Quez Watkins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+339/-647).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -638 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -647.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (13.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 78.2%.
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
  • Quez Watkins has posted quite a few less air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
  • Quez Watkins's 20.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 36.1.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) versus wideouts this year (63.1%).

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