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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Quentin Johnston has been a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this year (18.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.9%).
  • Quentin Johnston's 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteable growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 57.1% figure.
  • The Browns cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.2%) versus wide receivers this year (56.2%).

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