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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.2% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Los Angeles Chargers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 127.7 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The leading projections forecast Quentin Johnston to accumulate 7.8 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Quentin Johnston's 21.5% Target% this season reflects a remarkable progression in his passing game workload over last season's 11.0% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a meager 58.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the lowest rate in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Houston's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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