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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (38.9 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Quentin Johnston to accrue 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
  • Quentin Johnston's 19.9% Target% this season shows a substantial growth in his passing game usage over last season's 10.9% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.
  • With a bad 54.5% Adjusted Completion% (13th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Denver's CB corps has been excellent this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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