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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Quentin Johnston's 47.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 28.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chargers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.

With a poor 55.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (14th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston rates among the worst possession receivers in football among wideouts.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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