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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Quentin Johnston's 46.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 28.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Quentin Johnston's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 57.1% to 52.6%.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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