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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.

The leading projections forecast Quentin Johnston to earn 5.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Quentin Johnston's 49.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 28.5.

Quentin Johnston's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 57.1% to 68.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are an enormous 8-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (only 55.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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