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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Quentin Johnston Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+122/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop.
  • Last year, the feeble Raiders pass defense has been torched for a massive 69.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • With a weak 57.1% Adjusted Catch% (13th percentile) last year, Quentin Johnston places as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among wide receivers.
  • When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been fantastic last year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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