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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

In this week's game, Quentin Johnston is projected by the model to slot into the 83rd percentile among WRs with 7.2 targets.

While Quentin Johnston has received 12.0% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's offense in this week's game at 24.0%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, yielding 8.93 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.9% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Quentin Johnston rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 57.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile among wideouts

Quentin Johnston checks in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging just 6.82 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 11th percentile when it comes to WRs

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.1%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (62.1%).

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