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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

Quentin Johnston has compiled many more air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).

Quentin Johnston's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 28.5.

Quentin Johnston's 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a significant gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 25.0 mark.

Quentin Johnston's 5.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a meaningful gain in his efficiency in space over last year's 4.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 53.7% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The fewest plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Patriots, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.7 per game) this year.

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