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Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (38.9 per game) this year.The model projects Quentin Johnston to accrue 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among WRs.Quentin Johnston's 19.9% Target% this season shows a substantial growth in his passing game usage over last season's 10.9% rate.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.With a bad 54.5% Adjusted Completion% (13th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.With a weak 7.2 adjusted yards per target (19th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston ranks among the weakest WRs in the league in the league.This year, the fierce Broncos pass defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a mere 3.6 YAC.As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Denver's CB corps has been excellent this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
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