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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Quentin Johnston has posted quite a few more air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).

Quentin Johnston's 46.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 28.5.

Quentin Johnston's 7.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents an impressive boost in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.0% rate.

This year, the anemic Kansas City Chiefs defense has been torched for the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a staggering 4.45 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Quentin Johnston's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 57.1% to 52.6%.

Quentin Johnston ranks as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging just 7.36 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile among WRs

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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