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Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Falcons defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.7 per game) this year.

Quentin Johnston has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (49.0 per game).

Quentin Johnston's 47.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 28.5.

Quentin Johnston's 37.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a remarkable boost in his receiving talent over last year's 25.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Quentin Johnston's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 57.1% to 60.6%.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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