Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Quentin Johnston

NFL · Player Props

Quentin Johnston

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Quentin Johnston to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense in this game (17.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.4% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.
With a weak 16.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (25th percentile) this year, Quentin Johnston ranks among the worst pass-catching WRs in football.

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