My Account Log Out

reorder

Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

In this week's contest, Puka Nacua is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.6 targets.

With an exceptional 6.9 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks among the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

Puka Nacua's 76.7% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 67.4% mark.

This year, the anemic Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.

Puka Nacua's 70.2% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a significant reduction in his air attack usage over last year's 91.7% figure.

The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

More Puka Nacua Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™