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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

In this week's contest, Puka Nacua is projected by the projections to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.6 targets.

With a fantastic 6.7 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Puka Nacua's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 67.4% to 73.7%.

As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, New York's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.

Puka Nacua's 68.5% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a significant regression in his air attack usage over last season's 91.7% figure.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) vs. WRs this year (62.6%).

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