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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 135.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 5th-most in football.

The projections expect Puka Nacua to accrue 10.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

The Saints pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus wideouts this year (62.7%).

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