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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

This week, Puka Nacua is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.1 targets.

While Puka Nacua has accounted for 18.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's offense in this game at 26.8%.

This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Puka Nacua's pass-catching performance diminished this season, compiling just 5.1 adjusted catches compared to 6.1 last season.

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