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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
  • In this week's game, Puka Nacua is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.4 targets.
  • The model projects Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this week (24.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.9% in games he has played).
  • With an outstanding 5.7 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua places as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) to WRs this year (70.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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