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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 88.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

In this week's game, Puka Nacua is predicted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile among WRs with 10.9 targets.

Puka Nacua has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this season (37.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (29.1%).

Puka Nacua checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 85.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

Puka Nacua's 76.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 67.4% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projections to call just 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: fewest in the league.

Puka Nacua has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the worst in football this year.

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