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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 85.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's contest, Puka Nacua is projected by the projections to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.6 targets.
  • With a fantastic 92.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (99th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.
  • Puka Nacua's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 67.4% to 73.7%.
  • Puka Nacua ranks as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging an exceptional 10.05 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 89th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Puka Nacua's 68.5% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a significant regression in his air attack usage over last season's 91.7% figure.
  • After accumulating 89.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has seen a big decline this year, currently averaging 83.0 per game.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) vs. WRs this year (62.6%).

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