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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 74.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

In this week's contest, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 99th percentile among WRs with 10.7 targets.

While Puka Nacua has received 24.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this week's contest at 29.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last season, Puka Nacua has been a disappointment this season, currently averaging 82.0 per game.

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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