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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

This week, Puka Nacua is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.1 targets.

While Puka Nacua has accounted for 18.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's offense in this game at 26.8%.

With an excellent 5.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua rates among the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

Puka Nacua has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (80.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Puka Nacua's 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 84.0 rate.

Puka Nacua's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.35 figure last year.

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