My Account Log Out

reorder

Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.

In this week's game, Puka Nacua is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.4 targets.

The model projects Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this week (24.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.9% in games he has played).

When talking about air yards, Puka Nacua grades out in the towering 90th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a superb 85.0 per game.

With an excellent 79.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua stands among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) to wide receivers this year.

More Puka Nacua Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™