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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-145/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 63.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects Puka Nacua to be much less involved in his offense's pass attack this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (32.7% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Eagles pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

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