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P.J. Walker

P.J. Walker Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
P.J. Walker Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.8% run rate.
  • The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 66.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.
  • The Browns offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback PJ Walker.
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This week, Phillip Walker is predicted by the projection model to garner the 10th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 3.0.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has had the best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding just 3.50 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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