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P.J. Walker

P.J. Walker Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
P.J. Walker Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Phillip Walker to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (7.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
  • Phillip Walker has averaged just 0.4 carries per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the league among QBs (3rd percentile).
  • Phillip Walker has picked up a mere 5.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (24th percentile).

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