P.J. Walker Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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P.J. Walker

NFL · Player Props

P.J. Walker

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 9:01 AM UTC

Analysis

P.J. Walker Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 195.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the model to run 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 65.7 per game on average).
The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Phillip Walker has attempted a measly 21.9 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile among quarterbacks.
Phillip Walker ranks as one of the weakest quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging 123.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 13th percentile.
Phillip Walker's throwing precision has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 57.3% to 48.7%.
Phillip Walker checks in as one of the worst per-play QBs in the league this year, averaging a mere 5.23 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 14th percentile.

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