P.J. Walker Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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P.J. Walker

NFL · Player Props

P.J. Walker

QB · Carolina Panthers

Pass Attempts

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

P.J. Walker Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Phillip Walker to attempt 32.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.

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