P.J. Walker Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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P.J. Walker

NFL · Player Props

P.J. Walker

QB · Carolina Panthers

Pass Attempts

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

P.J. Walker Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Phillip Walker to attempt 26.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.

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