P.J. Walker Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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P.J. Walker

NFL · Player Props

P.J. Walker

QB · Carolina Panthers

Completions

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

P.J. Walker Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
Phillip Walker has attempted a mere 13.9 passes per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile among QBs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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