Pierre Strong Jr. Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Pierre Strong Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Pierre Strong Jr.

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Pierre Strong Jr. Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to run on 44.9% of their plays: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the model to run 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 65.7 per game on average).
When it comes to run support (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Browns ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.
Pierre Strong's rushing efficiency (5.09 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (87th percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The Browns will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Pierre Strong has played on 14.5% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 18th percentile when it comes to RBs.
This year, the deficient Seattle Seahawks run defense has given up a colossal 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 32nd-worst rate in the league.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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