Phillip Lindsay Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Phillip Lindsay

NFL · Player Props

Phillip Lindsay

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Phillip Lindsay Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-101/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 3.82 yards-per-carry.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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