My Account Log Out

reorder

Phillip Lindsay

Phillip Lindsay Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Phillip Lindsay Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+276/-470).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -453 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -470.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.

Opposing teams have run for the 7th-most TDs in football (1.00 per game) versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have been the 9th-least run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 34.1% red zone run rate.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

More Phillip Lindsay Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™