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Phillip Dorsett

Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.

Phillip Dorsett has compiled far fewer air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).

Phillip Dorsett has been among the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a lowly 13.0 yards per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receivers.

Phillip Dorsett has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 35.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 8th percentile among wideouts

Phillip Dorsett has been among the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a mere 6.10 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 20th percentile among wideouts

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