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Phillip Dorsett

Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Phillip Dorsett to be a more important option in his team's passing attack this week (12.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
  • Phillip Dorsett has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).
  • Phillip Dorsett has been among the weakest WRs in the game this year, averaging a mere 17.0 yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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