Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Phillip Dorsett

NFL · Player Props

Phillip Dorsett

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Phillip Dorsett to be a more important option in his team's passing attack this week (12.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Phillip Dorsett has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).
Phillip Dorsett has been among the weakest WRs in the game this year, averaging a mere 17.0 yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

More Phillip Dorsett Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow