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Phillip Dorsett

Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.

Phillip Dorsett has been on the field for 21.2% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 18th percentile among wideouts.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Phillip Dorsett has been among the worst pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a measly 17.0 yards per game while checking in at the 24th percentile among WRs.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

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