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Phillip Dorsett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).The Texans are an enormous 14.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Houston Texans have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.4 plays per game.The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.Phillip Dorsett has been among the worst pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging just 18.0 yards per game while checking in at the 21st percentile among WRs.Phillip Dorsett has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 47.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among wideoutsPhillip Dorsett has been among the least effective receivers in football, averaging just 6.76 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 25th percentile among wide receivers
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