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Phillip Dorsett

Phillip Dorsett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Phillip Dorsett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+364/-726).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -466 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -726.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Phillip Dorsett to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (12.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (73.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (73.5%).

The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league to wideouts: 1.50 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.

Phillip Dorsett has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).

Phillip Dorsett's 10.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 22.0.

The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

More Phillip Dorsett Player Props

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