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Pharaoh Brown

Pharaoh Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Pharaoh Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Pharaoh Brown has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 44.1% of snaps compared to 64.4% last year.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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