Pharaoh Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Pharaoh Brown

NFL · Player Props

Pharaoh Brown

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Pharaoh Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Pharaoh Brown has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 44.1% of snaps compared to 64.4% last year.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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