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Pharaoh Brown

Pharaoh Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Pharaoh Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.

Pharaoh Brown has played on 64.6% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Houston Texans O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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