Patrick Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.
The Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.92 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 42.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Patrick Taylor has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, playing on 28.5% of snaps compared to just 9.7% last season.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.