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Patrick Taylor

Patrick Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Patrick Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Packers being a huge -8.5-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Packers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Patrick Taylor's 8.3% Target Share this year conveys a noteable progression in his passing offense volume over last year's 0.6% mark.

The Green Bay offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

Patrick Taylor grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a mere 54.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.3%) vs. running backs this year (67.3%).

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