Patrick Taylor Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Patrick Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Taylor

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Patrick Taylor's 35.7% Route Participation% this season signifies a noteable growth in his passing offense utilization over last season's 5.6% rate.
Patrick Taylor has accrued a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
With a bad 59.5% Adjusted Catch% (9th percentile) this year, Patrick Taylor has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.
With a weak 4.1 adjusted yards per target (20th percentile) this year, Patrick Taylor ranks among the worst RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

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